Click on the pitch to plot a shot and get its predicted xG value. The direction of attack is left to right.
Expected Goals (xG) is a statistical measure of the quality of a shot taken in a football match. It assigns a probability to a given shot resulting in a goal, based on a variety of factors. This model considers the location on the pitch, the type of shot (e.g., header, foot), and the game situation (e.g., open play, set piece).
The value of xG ranges from 0 to 1, where 0 represents a shot that is almost impossible to score, and 1 represents a shot that is almost certain to be a goal. For example, a penalty kick has a high xG (typically around 0.76), while a shot from the halfway line has a very low xG.
This interactive tool allows you to explore how these factors influence the xG value. Click anywhere on the pitch to see the predicted xG for a shot from that location. Use the controls to specify the situation and shot type to see how the prediction changes.